Post by c***@gmail.comPost by ajohnstoneUniversity of Gothenburg in Sweden, using newly developed methods to measure and quantify the health of the world’s democracies found that the Republican Party has taken to demonizing and encouraging violence against its opponents, adopting attitudes and tactics comparable to ruling nationalist parties in Hungary, India, Poland and Turkey. In a significant shift since 2000 the Republican party has become dramatically more illiberal in the past two decades and now more closely resembles ruling parties in autocratic societies than its former centre-right equivalents in Europe
By contrast the Democratic party has changed little in its attachment to
democratic norms,
JFK would be a Republican today, minus the sex addiction issues. He certainly would be pro-life.
It's hard to say where JFK would come down on the abortion issue. Abortion
didn't become a hot button issue until after Roe v. Wade. It wasn't
necessary for any politician to weigh in on it publicly. What little
record there is of JFK's views on abortion suggest, although do not prove,
that he would be pro-life. Byron White was the only JFK appointee still on
the court when Roe v. Wade was decided and he was one of two dissenters. I
doubt that his stance on abortion was a reason JFK tabbed him to be a
Supreme Court justice. Some have suggested that JFK tabbed White because
of his record as a football star but it was probably because he had
chaired JFK's campaign in Colorado in 1960. JFK had first named him Deputy
Attorney General before appointing him to SCOTUS. When White retired, RBG
was named as his replacement and now ACB has filled that seat.
Post by c***@gmail.comand in that regard has remained similar to centre-right
Post by ajohnstoneand centre-left parties in western Europe.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/26/republican-party-autocratic-hungary-turkey-study-trump
And even if true, i'm sure plenty of Republican Party supporters heartily
approve of this shift to the right...But doesn't also mean that the
Democratic Party is also being pulled to the right, as well...
Baloney. The Republican party has shifted towards the center. The
Democrats are tumbling off the edge of the cliff, to the left.
Trump may get 15-20% of the black vote. Perhaps over 40% of the Hispanic
vote.
Trump seems to be holding his base and gobbling up disaffected Democrats.
Good.
It's very hard to make sense of the polling. It's hard to believe any
Democrat could get elected without getting a minimum of 85% of the black
vote, yet the national polls are showing Biden with a significant lead. I
strongly suspect there is a hidden Trump vote as there was in 2016. I've
read several Electoral College analyses which indicate that Biden needs to
win the national popular vote by a significant margin in order to win the
Electoral College. Earlier 538 calculated that if Biden wins the national
popular vote by 6%, he is only 50-50 to win the Electoral College. If
Biden wins by 4%, Trump has an 87% chance of winning the Electoral
College. This is because Biden will run up massive margins of victory (aka
overkill) in large solid blue states like California, New York, and
Illinois while Trump would more narrowly win the large states of Texas and
Florida. As it was in 2016, it is assumed Trump has to win Florida to have
a chance but as it turned out in 2016, Trump would have won even if he
lost Florida. Losing Florida would require Trump to win all the other toss
up states including the three blue wall states he captured in 2016. Most
likely, Trump has to hold Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio and just one
of those three blue wall states to get reelected. Pennsylvania seems like
his best bet due to Biden's gaffe of saying he wants to move away from
fossil fuels and his ever changing stance on fracking.